5 Prop Bets For 49ers @ Buccaneers
The Forecast: Passing. Lots and Lots of Passing
Both the San Francisco 49ers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers come into this pivotal NFC showdown undermanned on the defensive side of the ball. The Niners find themselves sans pass rush post Nick Bosa injury, the Bucs have already ruled multiple secondary members out. Baker Mayfield and Mac Jones are red hot, currently 6th and 1st in passing yards per game, respectively. We’re going to attack the prop bets accordingly:
Emeka Egbuka over 72.5 receiving yards -114(Fanduel SportsBook)- Since the Mike Evans injury, the Buccaneers have played 3 games in which Egbuka posted yardage totals of 85, 101, and 163, totalling 25 targets in that span. Additionally Egbuka has eaten cover 4 and 6 alive this year, for a league leading 273 yards against those combined coverages. Saleh runs that combination at the second highest rate in the league.While the 49ers defense has done well for the most part, they have let elite receivers get loose. Jaxon Smith-Njiba produced 124 yards, Davante Adams and Puka Nakua went for 88 and 85, and if Marvin Harrison Jr. was able to hold onto wide open passes he would have easily eclipsed 150 against them. Not only has Egbuka been a machine, he’s their last man standing with both Evans and Godwin already having been ruled out. He’s broken this number for 3 games straight, I believe he makes it 4 on Sunday. https://x.com/DraftAnalyst365/status/1975968406164918413
Cade Otton over 29.5 receiving yards -114(Fanduel SportsBook)- Fresh off his big week 5 where he saw 5 targets and produced 81 yards, Otton is primed once again in week 6. So far he plays at an over a 90% snap rate. He likely operates as their short yardage receiver, and that role has been lucrative in the Baker Mayfield offense. Rookie Marques Sigle has been underperforming on pass coverage, leaving the 49ers vulnerable to tight ends this season. Juwan Johnson went for 49 yards, Trey Mcbride hit 43, Brenton Strange and Hunter Long combined for 68, and Davis Allen and Terrance Ferguson totalled 45. Tampa said this week they plan to get Otton even more work moving forward. Take the over on a modest total of 30 yards at home Sunday. https://x.com/RealBucsTalk/status/1976463332992483777
Rachaad White over 25.5 receiving yards -114(Fanduel SportsBook)- In the two games post Bucky Irving injury, White has gone for 29 and 30 yards receiving. His pass catching out of the backfield has long been a staple of his game. He faces a tall task on the ground in week 6. San Francisco is tied for 12th in fewest yards per carry allowed at 4.1. If the stout rushing defense continues here, we could see White pull his best CMC impression and use dump offs as an extension of the rushing game. Kyren Williams just had 8 for 66 last week, however that is the only game in which the starting running back would have cleared this total this year. This is my least favorite of these 5 bets this week, but I still think it comes home. https://x.com/SleeperTBBUCS/status/1974161278601212376
Christian McCaffrey over 53.5 receiving yards -114(Fanduel SportsBook)- CMC averages 77.4 yards per game receiving so far this year. That is due in large part to the offensive line’s inability to generate push in the run game. In fact, the 49ers have been one of the worst rushing offenses in the NFL. Christian has cleared this number in 4 out of 5 games this season, and the one he didn’t, he hit 52. The Bucs allow 3.8 yards per carry, good enough for sixth best in the NFL. I would not be surprised at all to see a final box score of 8-10 targets. Smash this prop will full confidence. https://x.com/49ers/status/1964807645199843839
For you plus money bettors: Jauan Jennings anytime touchdown +180(Fanduel SportsBook)- Alright my favorite bet of the week is always when we chase plus money. Despite the questionable tag, with two practices in a row under his belt it seems like Jauan Jennings is going to be out there on Sunday. In his only full 2025 game to date, Jennings produced a line of 5-89-1 against the Saints. He didn’t score vs Jacksonville but he did catch a contested 2 point conversion. JJ is as good of a possession receiver as there is in the league, and returns to a Mac Jones who’s playing lights out football. Scoring seems like it will come in bunches this week. Coupled with Tampa’s elite rushing defense, I would expect to see ample passing opportunities inside the 10 yard line. That favors Jennings first and foremost. If you’re feeling frisky, this is a great one to sweat out with me. https://x.com/49ers/status/1967313297096773771
Good luck, let’s get it!