The 5 Best Prop Bets for Rams @ 49ers
The Bill Comes Due
Last week’s betting preview was subtitled #SurvivingMetLife. Sadly the squad did not escape the game whole, as the reputation of the stadium lives on. Our betting record is now sitting at 15-9-1 on the season . Which brings us to a pivotal Week 10 matchup against the Sean McVay led LA Rams. Both these teams are alive for the 1 seed in the NFC, although it feels like the Rams are surging and the 49ers are on life support after yet another major injury. We will plan out betting accordingly in what profiles to be a prolific offensive showdown at Levi’s (all bets via Stake).
Matthew Stafford O 267.5 passing yards (-112)
In their last showdown Stafford threw for a breezy 389 yards. He now faces an anemic pass rush that is amongst the NFL worst in pressure rate. Combined with the fact that the 49ers offense should be able to apply enough pressure to force passing from Satfford and the Rams, this has to be in play. Especially in a season where he looks as good as he ever has. The addition of stud WR Davante Adams has paid dividends for the franchise QB. It could pay dividends for us on Sunday as well.
Blake Corum 25+ rushing yards (-152)
Not the best odds on a backup’s rushing total but I can’t leave this one on the table. The 49ers have simply run out of bodies. Both the Giants and Texans had little issue finding running lanes. The last time these teams played the Rams averaged 5.2 YPC against a defense that still had Fred Warner and Mykel Williams. Corum has also been a more efficient runner than Kyren Williams on a per touch basis as well. He could break a run or two off in relief duty, or take the closer role should they get a sizable lead. There are multiple paths to this one coming home. It’s a must bet for me.
Kyren Williams anytime touchdown (-110)
Speaking of Kyren Williams, almost a 2:1 payout for Sean McVay’s goal line back in a game with a 49.5 O/U? Great, let’s do this. It’s noteworthy that Davante Adam’s prop sits at -140 anytime TD. He has been a target monster in the red zone this season. It came at the expense of Kryen’s touchdown totals. Still, with how soft this banged up rush defense now is, I think we have to play it.
Jauan Jennings +5 receptions (+102)
The Jauan receptions prop hit last week in what was mostly a rush based romping. This week getting plus money on five receptions feels like a no brainer. As he’s gotten healthier, Jennings has quietly assumed the role of WR1 in the 49ers offense once again these last three weeks. In that span he’s seen seven, seven, and five targets from QB Mac Jones.
That’s not to mention his career best game against them in 2024 where he went 11/175/3. They have added CB Roger McCreary via trade last week, so the previously leaky secondary should be marginally improved. But the line has now ballooned to -6 for the LA, the game script projects to be ripe for ample passing volume. We are taking this all day.
Christian McCaffrey 50+ receiving yards (-118)
After a one week hiatus from the picks it’s back and better than ever. We are going to ol’ reliable once again. The Rams are one of the best rushing defenses in the NFL, absolutely mauling offensive lines in the trenches. While the 49ers have looked marginally better in that front as of late, this very much feels like yet another iteration of CMC passing game usage as an extension or supplementation of the run game. In their first game he posted 8/82/1 through the air. Book it, he goes for 50+ on Sunday.
Those are your week 10 49ers prop bets. We are still chasing our white whale, the 5-0 finish. We have been a combined 7 CMC yards away from hitting 2(!) of those this season. Some day. As always please let us know if you tail these and how it went, good luck on Sunday everyone!