The Best 49ers Futures Bets to Make
“Hope is wonderful thing to be addicted to”
“As long as the red dice are in the air, the gambler has hope. And hope is a wonderful thing to be addicted to” - Norm MacDonald.
Alright 49ers fans, we are finally here. It is the season of hope. Every draft pick is a hit, every star is gonna crush, and that divisional title is right there for the taking. There’s gold to be mined in the form of your favorite Niner’s season long prop bets too, of course. Here’s where I’m sinking my degenerate pickaxe in 2025, and where you might consider doing the same:
Before starting with Brock Purdy it should be said, if either his yardage or touchdown props feel like long shots to you, I would strongly consider avoiding any other ones besides Christian McCaffrey’s rushing or receiving totals. Brock’s performance is obviously directly correlated to George Kittle and Rickey Pearsall’s. Pick and choose your shots accordingly.
Brock Purdy
Fanduel currently has Brock’s passing yardage line set at 3850.5, with odds of -114 for the over. The passing touchdown total sits at 24.5, +110 for the over. Last year was an absolute @#$% show for the boys offensively, and defensively… everywhere really. A show in which the major starting offensive pieces logged less than 60 total snaps together. The line couldn’t keep him upright, and we actually had to watch multiple Ronnie Bell big moments.
In the midst of this desecration of the team we all so dearly love, Brock managed to come out and in 16 games post a nearly 66% competition rate, 3864 yards, and 20 touchdowns. Vegas is offering you the chance to bet that with a fully healthy CMC, an emerging Pearsall, a returning Aiyuk, and a healthier line, that Purdy can at least repeat his performance last season. That’s not even factoring the extra game he has to do so. I don’t like this bet, I love it, and I don’t see him hitting one without also hitting the other. If you want to mitigate risk and take them separately, go for it. I’m also 100% comfortable parlaying the two, for +275 odds.
George Kittle
Tied directly to Purdy’s success this season is the man who profiles as his top receiving target in 2025. The best in the tight end business, George Kittle. Despite missing two games after coming in to 2024 injured, as well as the aforementioned @#$% show of an offense, Kittle posted a rock solid 79-1106-8 stat line. Beyond his own health issues, no 49er, maybe no other pass catcher in the league, is as reliant on play action as George is. He is one of the all time great producers off play action in NFL history. That cannot be understated, just how impressive his 2024 showing was, a CMC-less 2024. It is no longer a CMC-less offensive unit.
Despite that, Fanduel has gifted us a 900.5 receiving yardage prop, -114 for the over. And plus odds on a paltry 6.5 touchdowns, +118. Once again, both seem like values assuming health. That should always be kept in mind when these odds are given out, Vegas is well aware of NFL injury rates, and should he miss 4 weeks, it is almost certain these both miss. However, I am taking those odds, yardage and touchdowns. In this case a parlay would payout +309. But, there are worlds where Kittle scores 7 TDs even while missing 4-6 games, so I would prefer to bet them separately.
Christian McCaffrey
Speaking of CMC. Once again, to reiterate, a bet on his numbers is largely a bet on health. All are offered at -114 for the overs, a rushing total of 950.5, receiving 425.5 and lastly rushing touchdowns, 7.5. Even leaving early in one of his four 2024 outings, Christian was pacing for almost 600 receiving yards in 17 games. Rushing was paced for around 850. He did not score in those 4 games, however in 2023 he tallied 14 TD’s on the ground, 7 receiving.
While amassing 1459 rushing yards, 564 in the air. In 2022 he went 1139-8, adding receiving production of 741-5. Personally the order in which I am interested here is as follows: Rushing touchdowns over 7.5 is the most appealing, as that is plausible in as little as 4 games, and feels all but certain in 10 or more. This is a player that is tied for the all time NFL consecutive scoring record at 17 games after all. Next is receiving at 450.5. This is due in large part to the current state of the 49ers receiving core. We could conceivably see him total 250 in the first 5 games depending on game script.
The last one that again, if you told me we were getting 17 games would be a lock, is the 950.5 rushing total. Personally I see too many paths to failure here. Whether that be reduced workload in between the 20s, missing a handful of games, or too much of his production coming from receiving. And if you truly believe CMC plays all 17, the three parlay at +561 for you brave souls.
Ricky Pearsall
Cue the “Many Men” theme song, I want to bet on Rickey this season. Particularly in regards to his FanDuel yardage total, 850.5 at -114 for the over. Touchdowns are set at 4.5, with a -130 over. That figure is of less interest to me than the yards. Touchdowns are fickle and high variance. For him to hit the over, that would mean commanding 20% of the implied passing touchdown equity in the offense. That is a hard sell for me. McCaffrey is one of the great redzone weapons in the sport, as is Kittle. Robinson Jr. likely factors in as well. Plus both Aiyuk and Jennings present their own strengths inside the opponent’s 20.
Still, coming off 3 scores playing limited snaps in 2024, I don’t hold it against you if you’re in on it. I will not be joining you though. What I’ll opt for instead is the over on 850.5. I believe that Pearsall is a more talented and versatile player than Jauan is, and one that has been practicing all month as Brock’s number 1 at that. The chemistry they built up showed in the Raiders preseason game, and while third and Jauan will always be a factor, the 49ers chunk play receiver appears to be Rickey. He has 1100-1200 yard upside this season, even if Aiyuk returns to form as early as possible. Give me the -114 there all day.
My Favorite 2025 Under
Nicholas John Bosa. Under 10.5 sacks. -114. The hundred million dollar pass rusher, and I’m taking the under here. Bosa has not cleared the 10.5 figure since 2022, when he posted 18.5. 2023 totaled 10.5, 10 in 2024. Granted during this time he dealt with a dearth of competent rushing cohorts. And that may well be a different case with the addition of three promising rookies and the return of renowned D.C Robert Saleh. At the moment I see three big concerns for Bosa. 1. He has not been the same player post 2022/2023 contract extension.
It is possible that season was his peak, as of now it is. 2. While we have high hopes for the rookie lineman, and they have looked excellent so far, it seems logical to me that protection will still get slid toward him in 2025 unless and until one of them becomes a game impacting pass rusher. 3. Saleh’s penchant for exotic blitzes, blitzes which use linebackers and defensive backs to generate pressure, and diverts sack production away from the lineman. Give me Bosa’s under in 2025.